Executive-first synthesis of growth quality, investment structure, competitiveness, household demand, household financial behaviour, the corporate sector and the external sector.
Greece's structural macro picture is classified as constructive but mixed. Growth Quality: Broad-based growth. Investment Quality: Productive-capital intensive. Competitiveness: Mixed / broadly neutral. Household Demand: Durable-led discretionary demand. Household Income & Saving: Household income and saving pressure. Corporate Income & Investment: Profit-supported investment expansion. External Sector: External drag on growth. Across the 7 modules, 3 are favourable, 2 mixed/neutral and 2 adverse.
| Module | Assessment | Secondary | Key metric | Metric label | Quarter | Status | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth Quality | Broad-based growth | Primary driver: Household consumption | 1.90 | Real GDP growth | 2026-Q2 | Favourable | Import-intensive domestic demand; Investment supporting growth; Strong household-demand contribution |
| Investment Quality | Productive-capital intensive | Productive-capital proxy: 54.9% | 17.00 | GFCF / GDP | 2026-Q2 | Favourable | High intellectual-property share; Strong real GFCF growth |
| Competitiveness | Mixed / broadly neutral | Prod gap vs EU: +1.9 pp | NULC gap: +0.2 pp | 2.70 | Latest productivity/hour | 2026-Q2 | Mixed / neutral | Elevated NULC growth; Large productivity gap versus EU |
| Household Demand | Durable-led discretionary demand | Primary category: Durables | 1.00 | Real household consumption | 2026-Q2 | Mixed / neutral | None |
| Household Income & Saving | Household income and saving pressure | Saving rate: -5.1% | 4Q change: -1.0 pp | -5.12 | Household saving rate | 2026-Q1 | Adverse | Actual final consumption per capita unavailable for selected country; Household saving rate is negative; Real disposable income per capita falling materially QoQ |
| Corporate Income & Investment | Profit-supported investment expansion | Investment rate: 24.0% | Profit share: 39.8% | 23.98 | Corporate investment rate | 2026-Q1 | Favourable | None |
| External Sector | External drag on growth | Net exports: -0.78 pp | -0.78 | Net exports contribution | 2026-Q2 | Adverse | Domestic demand accompanied by import drag |
Each indicator uses its own latest available observation. EU-27 is compared in the same quarter shown for the selected country.
| Indicator | Measure | Quarter | Greece | EU-27 | Gap vs EU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 1.90 | 1.40 | +0.50 |
| Real GDP growth | % QoQ | 2026-Q2 | 0.30 | 0.70 | -0.40 |
| Productivity per person | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 1.80 | 0.90 | +0.90 |
| Productivity per hour | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 2.70 | 0.80 | +1.90 |
| Nominal unit labour cost | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 3.00 | 2.80 | +0.20 |
| Gross fixed capital formation | % GDP | 2026-Q2 | 17.00 | 21.50 | -4.50 |
| Household & NPISH consumption | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 1.70 | 1.20 | +0.50 |
| Exports | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 2.20 | 4.20 | -2.00 |
| Imports | % YoY | 2026-Q2 | 3.70 | 3.90 | -0.20 |
| Real disposable income per capita | % QoQ | 2026-Q1 | -3.65 | 0.01 | -3.66 |
| Household saving rate | % | 2026-Q1 | -5.12 | 14.14 | -19.26 |
| Household investment rate | % | 2026-Q1 | 6.19 | 8.16 | -1.97 |
| Household net financial assets ratio | % | 2026-Q1 | 729.69 | — | — |
| Corporate investment rate | % | 2026-Q1 | 23.98 | 22.64 | +1.34 |
| Corporate gross profit share | % | 2026-Q1 | 39.83 | 39.05 | +0.78 |
Expenditure-side percentage-point contributions used for the growth-mix classification. Imports are already signed in Eurostat's contribution measure.
| Engine | Contribution (pp) |
|---|---|
| Household consumption | +1.17 |
| Government consumption | +0.19 |
| Investment | +1.03 |
| Inventories & valuables | +0.49 |
| Exports | +0.84 |
| Imports | -1.62 |
| Net exports | -0.78 |
| Domestic demand | +2.88 |
| Residual / reconciliation | -0.20 |
The fixed-investment mix in 2026-Q2 is classified as productive-capital intensive. GFCF stood at 17.0% of GDP versus 21.5% for EU-27. Machinery/equipment plus intellectual property accounted for 54.9% of GFCF, while construction accounted for 45.0%. Total real GFCF growth was +6.1% year-on-year in 2026-Q2. Watchpoints: High intellectual-property share; Strong real GFCF growth.
| Asset | Code | Level (€m) | Share of GFCF | EU-27 share | Gap vs EU (pp) | Real growth (% YoY) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwellings | N111G | 1,915.0 | 17.3% | 23.1% | -5.7 | +8.1 |
| Other buildings & structures | N112G | 3,053.8 | 27.6% | 26.8% | +0.8 | +15.7 |
| Machinery & equipment | N11MG | 4,286.4 | 38.8% | 29.8% | +9.0 | +1.2 |
| Cultivated biological resources | N115G | 10.0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | -0.1 | +8.8 |
| Intellectual property products | N117G | 1,782.0 | 16.1% | 20.2% | -4.0 | -0.3 |
The current structural signal is classified as mixed / broadly neutral. On the latest common comparison quarter (2026-Q2), real labour productivity per hour grew +2.7% year-on-year versus +0.8% in EU-27. Nominal unit labour cost per hour increased +3.0% versus +2.8% in EU-27. Watchpoints: Elevated NULC growth; Large productivity gap versus EU.
| Metric | Quarter | Country | EU-27 | Euro area | Gap vs EU | Gap vs EA | Latest country quarter | Latest country value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productivity per hour | 2026-Q2 | +2.70 | +0.80 | +0.60 | +1.90 | +2.10 | 2026-Q2 | 2.7 |
| Productivity per person | 2026-Q2 | +1.80 | +0.90 | +0.60 | +0.90 | +1.20 | 2026-Q2 | 1.8 |
| NULC per hour | 2026-Q2 | +3.00 | +2.80 | +2.60 | +0.20 | +0.40 | 2026-Q2 | 3.0 |
| NULC per person | 2026-Q2 | +2.60 | +2.80 | +2.70 | -0.20 | -0.10 | 2026-Q2 | 2.6 |
The current household-demand mix is classified as durable-led discretionary demand. Real household consumption grew +1.0% year-on-year in 2026-Q2. Durables accounted for 6.2% of nominal household expenditure and services for 56.6% in 2026-Q2.
| Category | Code | Level (€m) | Share of consumption | EU-27 share | Gap vs EU (pp) | Real growth (% YoY) | Real growth quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable goods | P311_S14 | 3,060.8 | 6.2% | 8.1% | -1.9 | +6.6 | 2026-Q2 |
| Semi-durable goods | P312_S14 | 2,276.6 | 4.6% | 7.6% | -3.0 | +2.2 | 2026-Q2 |
| Non-durable goods | P313_S14 | 16,068.0 | 32.6% | 29.9% | +2.7 | +4.4 | 2026-Q2 |
| Services | P314_S14 | 27,900.5 | 56.6% | 54.4% | +2.1 | -1.6 | 2026-Q2 |
Greece's household income/saving configuration is classified as household income and saving pressure. In 2026-Q1, real disposable income per capita changed -3.6% QoQ. The household saving rate was -5.1%. The saving rate changed -1.0 pp from four quarters earlier. Watchpoints: Actual final consumption per capita unavailable for selected country; Household saving rate is negative; Real disposable income per capita falling materially QoQ.
| Metric | Indicator | Measure | Adjustment | Quarter | Country | EU-27 | Euro area | Gap vs EU | Change vs 4Q ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real disposable income per capita | B6G_R_HAB_GR | % QoQ | SCA | 2026-Q1 | -3.65 | +0.01 | — | -3.66 | -5.75 |
| Real actual final consumption per capita | P4_R_HAB_GR | % QoQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Household saving rate | SRG_S14_S15 | % | SCA | 2026-Q1 | -5.12 | +14.14 | — | -19.26 | -0.98 |
| Household investment rate | IRG_S14_S15 | % | SCA | 2026-Q1 | +6.19 | +8.16 | — | -1.97 | +0.56 |
| Household net financial assets ratio | NFW_S14_S15 | % | NSA | 2026-Q1 | +729.69 | — | — | — | +60.91 |
Greece's non-financial corporate sector is classified as profit-supported investment expansion. In 2026-Q1, the corporate investment rate was 24.0% and the gross profit share was 39.8%. Compared with four quarters earlier, the investment rate changed +0.7 pp and the profit share +1.8 pp.
| Metric | Indicator | Measure | Adjustment | Quarter | Country | EU-27 | Euro area | Gap vs EU | Change vs 4Q ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate investment rate | IRG_S11 | % | SCA | 2026-Q1 | +23.98 | +22.64 | — | +1.34 | +0.73 |
| Corporate gross profit share | B2G_B3G_RAT_S11 | % | SCA | 2026-Q1 | +39.83 | +39.05 | — | +0.78 | +1.83 |
The external-sector contribution is classified as external drag on growth. Net exports contributed -0.78 percentage points to GDP growth in 2026-Q2. Exports contributed +0.84 pp and imports -1.62 pp. Real exports grew +2.2% YoY while real imports grew +3.7% YoY. Watchpoints: Domestic demand accompanied by import drag.
| Metric | Contribution (pp) | Real growth (% YoY) | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exports | +0.84 | +2.20 | 2026-Q2 |
| Imports | -1.62 | +3.70 | 2026-Q2 |
| Net exports | -0.78 | — | 2026-Q2 |
| Domestic demand | +2.88 | — | 2026-Q2 |
Executive structural synthesis across growth, investment, competitiveness, household demand, household income and saving, the corporate sector and the external sector.
One-page synthesis of the growth mix, structural pulse and EU comparison.
Year-on-year real GDP growth for the selected country, EU-27 and euro area.
Real labour productivity per hour worked, year-on-year.
Percentage-point expenditure contributions to annual real GDP growth.
Cross-country comparison of real GDP growth for the latest available ranking quarter.
Quarterly household consumption expenditure in current prices, by durability category where available.
Composition of fixed investment, structural shares, EU comparison and investment-quality assessment.
Productivity growth, nominal unit labour costs and relative performance versus EU-27 and the euro area.
Household expenditure composition and real demand momentum across durables, non-durables and services.
Disposable income, actual consumption, saving, household investment and net financial assets from quarterly sector accounts.
Corporate investment rate and gross profit share of non-financial corporations.
Export, import and net-export contributions, trade growth and the source of external-sector support.